The futures market can say quite a bit about a currency. For example, if U.S. stock index futures begin to drop in value, this means that traders have a negative outlook of where the market is headed. This in turn means that the U.S. dollar is not as well-trusted over a long period of time. The Federal Reserve, of course, has a lot to say about the dollar, but it is ultimately the traders who interpret that information that create the supply and demand.
Going back to our example, if the Fed were to step in and try to protect the dollar, they would likely drop interest rates in order to attract more borrowing. This in turn would lead to more spending of the dollar—in theory, of course. The people who dictate the supply and demand of the dollar are those who have the most money: the large banks and corporations. These institutions move the greatest amount of currency transactions and if enough money is moved around, this can have a serious impact on the little guy who is trading at home. The large institutional traders will move millions of dollars at a time; this is something that most of us don’t have the ability to do. And with such a large amount of money moving, the supply and demand is deeply affected.
What does this have to do with futures? When futures drop in value, this means that there is less of a demand for U.S. businesses. The Fed will move accordingly to try and fix this problem, thus causing demand for the dollar to increase.
Article by: Forex VPS